If you were to ask someone who just started collecting, what current Hot Wheels castings are the most highly desired right now, there would most likely be some models that would surprise long-term collectors.
Long-term collectors would surely mention the Drag Bus, Dairy Delivery, Blown Delivery, ’67 Camaro, and Chevy Panel. But newer collectors might offer something completely different, and there is a very good chance they would mention the Datsun 510, Nissan Kenmeri and Hakosuka Skylines, and the Bugatti Veyron. They have watched secondary prices for many of these skyrocket in value, as well as follow the obsessive scouring for current releases like the Zamac Hako by collectors on Instagram.
And to think these were all pegwarmers just a short time ago. The 510 especially hung and hung and hung. Up until mid-2013 I was still coming across 510 First Editions hanging in various stores. Yes, the 510 First Edition, from 2009, still hanging 4 years later! That seems absurd now, as the same models are now selling for $10 each on ebay. Even the Vintage Racing BRE 510, while released in small numbers, hung on the pegs if the store actually got the batch. I think I left 5 or 6 (hand-slap to forehead).
The First Edition Skylines are doing the same thing, going up and up, and I was still seeing those on the pegs as late as fall last year.
And those don’t even touch the Veyron. A model that notoriously littered the pegs with each release is now impossible to get for a decent price. In particular the Walmart exclusive in satin red, which was the one Walmart exclusive no one picked up back then (I must have left 30 hanging), and now is garnering $75-plus on ebay.
Even Matchbox has its share. Have you seen how much MB Toyota Land Cruisers command on ebay, including this red 10-pack exclusive? At one point the sealed 10-pack was selling for over $300. And that was a very easy pack to grab when it was released.
Of course we all wish we could go back in time and gobble up all the 510’s and Veyrons we can (not to mention raiding the TJ Maxx stores of their plethora of Boulevard Datsun Wagons), but unless you are Marty McFly or The Terminator or Bill and Ted, that is impossible.
But what you can do is try and predict what castings considered pegwarmers now will be everyone’s most wanted in the future. So today we are asking that question.
And the answer?
We have no bloody clue. None.
And neither do you. But we can always speculate, and maybe throw out some ideas.
First, some models to eliminate:
- All JDM. JDM is white-hot right now, and the bubble will burst. Yes, some models will remains highly sought-after, like the Vintage Racing and RLC BRE 510’s, as well as the FE Skylines, and Boulevard Datsun Wagon. But the secret on these is more than out, and these models are anything but pegwarmers now. Prices will settle soon, and many speculating crazy value on models like the current Kenmeri might be a little disappointed. Zamac Skyline and Kmart 620? That might be a different story, based on their limited release, but that is for another article.
- Cars that were never pegwarmers. The Datsun Wagon was never a pegwarmer, nor the ’67 Camaro, and have you ever seen a Drag Bus last more than a few hours in the store? Same with models like the recently released ’55 Gasser. Yeah, you can find one here and there, but for the most part they don’t stick around long. They are popular from day one.
- Specific lines. We are talking about castings today, not overall subseries or premium lines like Faster Than Ever, Speed Machines, Vintage Racing, and Boulevard. We think models like the Zamac Ferrari 599XX and McLaren F1 GTR will be very popular someday, but they were never pegwarmers.
Yes, these models were out almost 10 years ago, but we are still shocked you can grab either for under $3 on ebay. The day will come when you can’t. These are still two of the best-looking Hot Wheels in the Lamley collection.
Doesn’t it seem both castings are following that 510/Skyline path? Both foreign cars, both not as mainstream as other models, and both ground zero cars in particular auto scenes.
We still see the Kmart E30 M3 at some stores. Will we regret not snagging them later? Maybe.
13 Replies to “Pegwarmer Yesterday, Treasure Today: What Hot Wheels model will be the next Datsun 510 or Bugatti Veyron?”
What about the morris mini casting from 2000?
Prototipo Alfa Romeo B.A.T. 9
Maserati Quattroporte and MC12
'86 Monte Carlo SS First Edition.
Although it's JDM, the Honda CRX might become super collectible; only premium lines have had the casting: The Hot Ones, Boulevard, and Cool Classics. Speaking of premium lines only, the Pontiac Fiero hasn't had a mainline casting in quite some time, and the Porsche 914-6 never has. This might affect their value later on.
Then there's the Lamley-despised movie cars: The Homer, The Jetson's Capsule Car, Star Trek Enterprise (w/o battle damage), and the Snoopy! These castings are rare, especially the original color/casting. These were harder to find than the regular T-Hunts, and it looks like some of them won't be released again in differing colors (Homer, Snoopy).
Last, I think that way down the road just about any metal/metal mainline casting might be collectible. The 67 Camaro, the 64 T-Bird convertible, and the 71 Mustang Mach 1 and 55 Corvette from the Wal-Mart 8 car exclusive sets. And….!!.. Drumroll… the Hot Tub! Hahah. I think that any intricate or ornate metal castings will be collectible in the future.
That depends a bit on where you kive I guess. Down here in Brazil, Muscle Cara remain as popular as ever, and you can still grab the copper 510 FE pretty much everywhere. I have a small stock of those just for the roll cages.
How could you forget the Lancer Evolution. That, especially Speed Machines, FTEs and multipack exclusive cars have gone thru the roof!
its been a long time since i last check in here. For me, it always be Morris Mini as my fav!
I'd agree with Charlie that metal-on-metal castings will be more sought after. And also the premium lines like Cool Classics, Road Trippin', and Boulevard.
I was watching the trends in the market and i made a list of hotwheels that are appriciating. it is as follows:
red/silver pagani huayra
white bentley continental ss
bmw m3 race in white
lotus esprit s1
porsche 918 spyder silver
porsche 993 gt2
porsche rsr 934
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Bone shakers have a good following and prices are falling right now…im grabbing all i can to hold onto them for customs and such…but i think the prices will demand better later on in a few years….I have 99% of them anyways now…lol
CR-X in Tomica Limited Vintage is coveted. I think it's supposed to be in the upcoming batch of the mainline hot wheels though?
My pick for the mainline prospect would be the Civics. I can see them climbing in value. Maybe not as high as the 510's, but as well as the Skylines.
Older Mercedes casting might go up, they stopped making them a while back. and there were even certain older models like the 300TD that only had one release. Also, on a different note, Im surprised you are still finding the Kmart BMW, I personally think that is one of the most beautiful Kmart cars that mattel has done in a lone time, its just flawless, and this is coming from a JDM addict 😀